This is the most murky and dangerous topic! No one has proposed or published these statistics yet.
It is necessary to distinguish the statistics of excess mortality of unvaccinated citizens (they could have died due to other reasons) from the statistics of excess mortality due to unvaccination (covid mortality statistics).
Similarly, it is necessary to distinguish the statistics of excess mortality of vaccinated citizens (they could have died due to other reasons) from the statistics of excess mortality due to vaccination.
If half of Russia is vaccinated, then Russia will be divided into two large parts, in which the vaccinated and the unvaccinated will die.
And if there is a balance between them, it will be an indicator that the causes of mortality have remained the same as before the covid pandemic.
If the mortality rate of the unvaccinated half of Russia significantly exceeds the mortality rate of the vaccinated half of the country, then this will indicate mortality from covid.
If the mortality rate of the vaccinated half of Russia significantly exceeds the mortality rate of the unvaccinated half of the country, then this will indicate mortality from vaccination.
If the whole of Russia is vaccinated, then due to the lack of comparative analysis, it will be more difficult to assess the effectiveness of vaccines, thanks to statistics.
This is the most murky and dangerous topic! No one has proposed or published these statistics yet.
Associate Professor of the Institute of Psychology and Education of KFU, Candidate of Psychological Sciences Ramil Garifullin
